Sistem Prediksi Jumlah Produksi Baju Menggunakan Weighted Moving Average

  • Sri Nurhayati
  • Ahmad Syafiq Universitas Komputer Indonesia
Keywords: Predictioon, Production, Weightened Moving Average

Abstract

Currently, technological advances for information processing are growing very rapidly. This information technology has been used in various fields in everyday life. By using this technology, it is hoped that the work will be faster and more efficient. Due to being able to manage information more quickly and efficiently, it is possible for every company in its work process to use this technology, one of which is the production process. The production process is the process of making or providing use value to an item. This process is one of the important processes because if there is a shortage or excess in the amount of production it will affect sales. Therefore, predictions are needed to estimate the number of products to be produced so that there is no shortage and excess production. In this study, a prediction system will be made where the data used is taken from the Ummajee Store which is a clothing store where the clothes sold are the results of their own production. The method used to determine the prediction of the amount of production using the Weighted Moving Average method, where this method has a different weighting technique for each given data. In this study to calculate the error in predicting the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), while for the analysis of functional requirements the system uses the Unified Modeling Language (UML). The results of the research, the system has been running as needed and for the use of the method to get an error value of 21% so that the system with the Weighted Moving Average method can be used to predict the amount of production, as well as the system has been running in accordance with the analysis of functional requirements and the results of testing the user response system get the value of 92% which means that the system user states that the system can be used properly so that it can assist in making decisions to determine the amount of clothing production that will be produced in the next period.

References

A.T.P. Sunardi, & E. Suprianto. “Pengendalian Kualitas Produk Pada Proses Produksi Rib A320 Di Sheet Metal Forming Shop”. Jurnal Industri Elektro dan Penerbangan, 5(2), 2020..

I. A. C. Cahyani, I. M. Pulawan, & N. M. Santini. “Analisis Persediaan Bahan Baku Untuk Efektivitas dan Efesiensi Biaya Persediaan Bahan Baku Terhadap Kelancaran Proses Produksi pada Usaha Industri Tempe Murnisingaraja di Kabupaten Badung”. Wacana Ekonomi (Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Akuntansi), 18(2), 116-125, 2019.

R. Bangun and N. Nasruji, “Peranan Perencanaan Dan Proses Produksi Terhadap Kelancaran Pengiriman Barang Di Pt Team Metal Indonesia (Tmi),” J. Dimens., vol. 7, no. 1, 2018.

I. - and R. B. Utomo, “Penerapan Metode Exponential Smoothing Untuk Prediksi Jumlah Produksi Minuman Teh di PT Futami Food & Beverages,” Teknois J. Ilm. Teknol. Inf. dan Sains, vol. 8, no. 2, 2019.

L. Utari and N. Triyanto, “Prediksi Jumlah Produksi Mobil Pada Perusahaan Karoseri Dengan Menggunakan Metode Exponential Smoothing,” Teknois J. Ilm. Teknol. Inf. dan Sains, vol. 7, no. 1, 2019.

A. Nasution, “Metode Weighted Moving Average Dalam M-Forecasting,” Jurteksi (Jurnal Teknol. dan Sist. Informasi), vol. V, no. 2, 2019.

Z. Silvya, A. Zakir, and D. Irwan, “Penerapan Metode Weighted Moving Average Untuk Peramalan Persediaan Produk Farmasi,” JITEKH (Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Harapan), vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 69–74, 2020.

Suwandi, F. Wicaksono, and T. Ramadani, “Sistem Akuntansi Pencatatan Persediaan Bahan Baku Dengan Metode Rata-Rata Bergerak,” Jurnal Ilmiah MEA (Manajemen, Ekonomi, & Akuntansi), vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 58–72, 2019.

R. Rachman, “Penerapan Metode Moving Average Dan Exponential Smoothing Pada Peramalan Produksi Industri Garment,” Jurnal Informatika, vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 211–220, Sep. 2018.

R. Chen, Z. Li, and J. Zhang, “A generally weighted moving average control chart for monitoring the coefficient of variation,” Appl. Math. Model., vol. 70, 2019.

C. A. Suhendra, M. Asfi, W.J. Lestari, & I. Syafrinal. “Sistem Peramalan Persediaan Sparepart Menggunakan Metode Weight Moving Average Dan Reorder Point:. MATRIK: Jurnal Manajemen, Teknik Informatika Dan Rekayasa Komputer, 20(2), 343-354, 2021

Solikin, I., & Hardini, S. (2019). Sistem Forecasting Stok Barang Menggunakan Metode Weighted Moving Average (WMA) pada Metrojaya Komputer. Jurnal Informatika, 4(02).

A. Krisma, M. Azhari, & P. P. Widagdo. “Perbandingan Metode Double Exponential smoothing Dan Triple Exponential smoothing Dalam Parameter Tingkat Error Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) dan Means Absolute Deviation (MAD)”. In Prosiding Seminar Nasional Ilmu Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi Vol . 4, No. 2, 2019.

W. Salmi, I. Djakaria, & R. Resmawan. “Penerapan Metode Exponential Moving Average Pada Peramalan Penggunaan Air Di Pdam Kota Gorontalo”. Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics, 1(2), 69-77, 2020

C. A. Bakti, H. H. Widagdo, A. Nugroho, A., & T. Gumbara, "Perancangan Sistem Informasi Safety Stock Di Pt Pelita Biru Menggunakan Java", Science Technology and Management Journal, 1(2), 61-70, 2021.

Suendri, “Implementasi Diagram UML (Unified Modelling Language) Pada Perancangan Sistem Informasi Remunerasi Dosen Dengan Database Oracle (Studi Kasus: UIN Sumatera Utara Medan),” J. Ilmu Komput. dan Inform., vol. 3, no. 1, 2018.

E. Affandi and T. Syahputra, “Pemodelan Uml Manajeman Sistem Inventory,” J. Teknol. Sist. Inf. dan Sist. Komput. TGD, vol. 1, no. 2, 2018.

R. Fauzan, D. Siahaan, S. Rochimah, & E. Triandini. “A Different Approach on Automated Use Case Diagram Semantic Assessment”. International Journal of Intelligent Engineering and Systems, 14(1), 496-505, 2021

G. P. Suri, & N.Y. Arifin, "Pengembangan Dan Implementasi Sistem Perpustakaan Berbasis Web: Development and Implementation Of Web-Based Library Applications". Engineering and Technology International Journal, 2(01), 21-28, 2020.

S. Masripah, & L. Ramayanti, L, "Penerapan Pengujian Alpha Dan Beta Pada Sistem Penerimaan Siswa Baru. Jurnal Swabumi, 8(1), 100-105, 2020.

Published
2022-03-28
How to Cite
[1]
S. Nurhayati and A. Syafiq, “Sistem Prediksi Jumlah Produksi Baju Menggunakan Weighted Moving Average”, JAMIKA, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 14-24, Mar. 2022.